Key Business Points
- The Malawi Stock Exchange (MSE) has remained stable despite the country’s election fever, with a 2.1 percent return on index between last Friday and Wednesday this week, indicating investor confidence and stability in the market.
- The market’s resilience to political environment shocks is attributed to its alignment with macroeconomic fundamentals, reacting to inflation and interest rates movements rather than immediate election results.
- Investors are advised to remain vigilant and keep in touch with their financial advisors to timely respond to policy changes that might affect the macroeconomic environment post elections, with a focus on long-term fundamentals rather than short-term election shocks.
The Malawi Stock Exchange (MSE) has demonstrated its ability to withstand election-induced fever, with the market registering a 2.1 percent return on index between last Friday and Wednesday this week. This steadiness is seen as an indicator of investor confidence and stability in the market, with market analysts interpreting it as a sign that the market is not hypersensitive to immediate environmental shifts. The main index gained 11 055.10 points to 561 198.78 points on Monday, September 15, and added further 500 points during post-election trading to close at 561 867.54 points on Wednesday.
The rally was driven by share price gains in eight counters, led by National Investment Trust plc, whose share price jumped by 14 percent from K1 922 to K2 210.18 per share. FMB Capital Holdings increased by 8 percent, while FDH Bank plc and TNM also saw significant gains. The total market capitalisation jumped 2 percent during the period, from K29.9 trillion to K30.5 trillion, cementing the fact that the market has not been affected by election-induced fever.
According to market analyst and financial expert Brian Kampanje, the impact of the election might be seen later, describing the market as a ‘weak form market efficiency’ because investors do not react to current developments in real-time. Purity Chitalo, a stock market investor, attributed the MSE’s resilience to its alignment with macroeconomic fundamentals, reacting to inflation and interest rates movements rather than immediate election results. Kondwani Makwakwa, equity investment analyst at Stockbrokers Malawi Limited, urged investors to remain vigilant and keep in touch with their financial advisors to timely respond to policy changes that might affect the macroeconomic environment post elections.
The MSE’s resilience to internal and external shocks ensures that investor value is guaranteed, according to MSE chief executive officer John Kamanga. This highlights the strength, resilience, and potential of the country’s capital market as a platform for creating sustainable wealth and fostering economic growth. As Malawian entrepreneurs and investors, it is essential to consider the long-term fundamentals of the market, rather than reacting to short-term election shocks, and to keep in touch with financial advisors for guidance on navigating the macroeconomic environment. The MSE’s stability and growth prospects make it an attractive platform for local entrepreneurs and investors looking to create sustainable wealth and contribute to Malawi’s economic growth, with key terms like "kugonga kwa tsogolo" (investing for the future) and "kuwongolera kwa mphamvu" (managing with strength) becoming increasingly relevant in the country’s business landscape.
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