Money market returns tumble – The Times Group

A Thunderclap For Lazy Mermaid. [ It’s mostly here to take advantage of my mind’s own ability to create sensible sounding sentences in the gaps between the readable content, without paying attention to the fact that these “understandable” gaps don’t always make much sense. I think that’s part of the reason why the sentence generation is so hard — we should probably say “Generating a randomly selected, sensical English sentence” rather than “Creating a high fidelity generated random English sentence” In the same spirit, using random characters seems to make the output much more legible and has a similar effect to adding noise and jitter to random numbers. In fact, I am now considering introducing randomness into programs as a general way to create “artificial” grammatical forms and sentences. This even helps with “breadth” of comprehension of the meaning of things, which would otherwise depend entirely on the meaning of a particular sentence generator. Update 7th September 2015: I’m now using an algorithm similar to the one I originally provided in my first sentence in this post ]

Post was last updated: February 27, 2026

Key Business Points
– Treasury Bill yields have fallen sharply, with 91-day T-Bills dropping from 16% to 12% and 182-day T-Bills from 20% to 16%, lowering returns for short-term money market investors
– Excess liquidity in the banking system combined with reduced government borrowing at higher yields is driving down interest rates across money market instruments
– While returns from low-risk instruments are declining, money market investments remain a reliable option for capital preservation and liquidity management

Investors in money market instruments across Malawi are experiencing reduced returns following a notable decline in Treasury Bill yields, as improving liquidity conditions reshape the short-term investment landscape.

Bridgepath Capital Limited’s recent advisory report highlights the scale of this shift, with benchmark rates seeing substantial drops over a short period. The 91-day Treasury Bill rate has fallen from 16 percent to 12 percent, while the longer-term 182-day instrument has declined from 20 percent to 16 percent. These adjustments have cascaded through the broader money market, affecting the returns available on various short-term investment products.

The firm attributes multiple factors to this downward trend. Beyond the direct reduction in yields on government securities, lower allotments of Treasury Bills against investor applications have contributed to the changing dynamics. The absence of Treasury Note issuances for nearly two months has further altered supply and demand conditions in fixed-income markets. Additionally, the postponement of the Monetary Policy Committee meeting to determine the policy rate has added an element of uncertainty to market sentiment.

Benedicto Nkhoma, an investment analyst monitoring market developments, points to the fundamental imbalance created by excess liquidity in the banking system coinciding with reduced government borrowing at elevated yields. Treasury Bill auctions in recent months have attracted strong investor interest, but government tender acceptances have been significantly lower, leading to more capital chasing fewer investment opportunities.

For everyday investors navigating this environment, the implications are clear but not necessarily cause for alarm. Traditional low-risk instruments such as money market funds and Treasury Bills will yield progressively lower returns compared to levels seen in the past twelve to eighteen months. However, experts emphasize that money market investments retain their essential characteristics as secure vehicles for preserving capital and maintaining liquidity while generating steady, albeit reduced, income.

The falling yields represent more than just a challenge for current returns; they signal broader economic developments. Typically, easing money market rates indicate improved liquidity conditions within the financial system, suggesting that banks have sufficient funds to support lending and other economic activities. The reduced urgency for government to borrow at expensive rates points toward greater fiscal flexibility, while the adjustments may foreshadow stabilization in overall interest rate expectations.

The sustainability of this trend depends on whether Malawi’s macroeconomic fundamentals remain stable. Key factors include the trajectory of inflation rates, the stability of the national currency against major trading partners, maintenance of fiscal discipline by government agencies, and the effectiveness of debt management strategies. If these elements align positively, the low-interest environment could persist, creating both challenges and opportunities for businesses and investors.

Government actions in recent Treasury Bill auctions reinforce its strategic approach. Results from the auctions held on February 23rd and 24th saw the government accepting only K60.9 billion out of the K350.3 billion applied for – a clear signal of selective borrowing practices. In some instances, authorities have rejected expensive long-term Treasury Bill offers, indicating a deliberate policy to minimize borrowing costs.

For Malawi’s business community, this evolving financial landscape requires strategic adaptation. Companies holding cash reserves in money market instruments may need to recalibrate return expectations while recognizing the ongoing value of liquidity and capital preservation. The broader economic implications, including cheaper financing costs and improved banking sector liquidity, could eventually translate into benefits for business expansion and investment if macroeconomic stability is maintained.

Banks and financial institutions may adjust their lending products to reflect the new cost of funds, potentially creating opportunities for businesses seeking financing for growth initiatives. The key for entrepreneurs and business owners lies in understanding these interconnected dynamics and positioning their financial strategies accordingly, recognizing that while returns are declining, opportunities for cost-effective capital exist within this shifting monetary environment.

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